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BREAKING
White House has asked Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle to resign, new Trump press secretary says10m agoMartin Shkreli violated lifetime pharma industry ban, FTC and states say in contempt claim37m agoCyclicals Lead Sectors In Tuesday Trading As Health Care Trails - Benzinga9m agoRapid Growth, High Volatility, and Near 50% Upside Confound Seagate Technology Investors24m agoGoldman Sachs Rises on Equities-Led Earnings Beat; JPMorgan Chase Treads Water, Wells Fargo Declines 3%1h agoIREN Slides 5% as Anthropic Cloud Report Buzz Fades; Core Scientific Falls 3%1h agoS&P 500 Concentration Is Even Worse Than It Looks. How I'm Attacking It. (NYSEARCA:SPY) - Seeking Alpha1h agoUnitedHealth Rises 4% on Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Outlook; Humana Advances 2%1h agoWhat If You’d Bought Vanguard’s Growth ETF at the Worst Possible Moment?1h agoCipher Digital Tumbles 14% on $850M Convertible Note Offering and Share Exchange; Applied Digital Drops 5%1h agoValuEngine Weekly Commentary With Strategy Notes - Seeking Alpha1h agoExchange-Traded Funds Lower, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Tuesday Amid Chip Weakness, Bank Earnings1h agoAdobe is Being Punished for a Creative Cannibalization Threat That Isn’t Real2h agoCoreWeave Imploded 20% Over 6 Months: This Analyst Predicts It Will Triple in Price Over the Coming Year2h agoS&P 500 Above 8,000? Fidelity’s Timmer Sees Q3 Earnings and Seasonal Tailwinds Powering Bull Market - Benzinga2h agoWhite House has asked Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle to resign, new Trump press secretary says10m agoMartin Shkreli violated lifetime pharma industry ban, FTC and states say in contempt claim37m agoCyclicals Lead Sectors In Tuesday Trading As Health Care Trails - Benzinga9m agoRapid Growth, High Volatility, and Near 50% Upside Confound Seagate Technology Investors24m agoGoldman Sachs Rises on Equities-Led Earnings Beat; JPMorgan Chase Treads Water, Wells Fargo Declines 3%1h agoIREN Slides 5% as Anthropic Cloud Report Buzz Fades; Core Scientific Falls 3%1h agoS&P 500 Concentration Is Even Worse Than It Looks. How I'm Attacking It. (NYSEARCA:SPY) - Seeking Alpha1h agoUnitedHealth Rises 4% on Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Outlook; Humana Advances 2%1h agoWhat If You’d Bought Vanguard’s Growth ETF at the Worst Possible Moment?1h agoCipher Digital Tumbles 14% on $850M Convertible Note Offering and Share Exchange; Applied Digital Drops 5%1h agoValuEngine Weekly Commentary With Strategy Notes - Seeking Alpha1h agoExchange-Traded Funds Lower, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Tuesday Amid Chip Weakness, Bank Earnings1h agoAdobe is Being Punished for a Creative Cannibalization Threat That Isn’t Real2h agoCoreWeave Imploded 20% Over 6 Months: This Analyst Predicts It Will Triple in Price Over the Coming Year2h agoS&P 500 Above 8,000? Fidelity’s Timmer Sees Q3 Earnings and Seasonal Tailwinds Powering Bull Market - Benzinga2h ago
MSFT
LIVE 7s🔴-0.20%
Microsoft Corporation
$547.31
+6.16 (1.14%)
MSN Finance · 03:10:11 PM
Book value$59.56·808.58% premium
Market Cap
$4.06T
P/E
30.50
EPS (ttm)
0.00
52W High
$553.72
52W Low
$349.20
Volume
9,035,560
Beta
1.10
Div Yield
0.72%
Avg Vol
21,142,077
Open
$545.00
Prev Close
$541.15
Day Range
$544.28 - $551.15
Analysis Tabs
Last
$547.31
MSN Finance · 03:10:11 PM
1D
+1.14%
MSN Finance · 03:10:11 PM
Deterioration
0%
0/18
Recovery
90%
9/10
Breakout
83.33%
15/18
D1–D18 Deterioration0/18 triggered
D1_close_below_sma20D2_close_below_sma50D3_close_below_sma200D4_sma20_below_sma50D5_sma50_below_sma200D6_ema5_below_ema10D7_r5d_negativeD8_r10d_below_neg3D9_r20d_below_neg5D10_atr10_above_atr30D11_below_52w_high_10D12_break_20d_highD13_rs_20d_negativeD14_down_volume_heavyD15_3_lower_lowsD16_3_consec_redD17_drop_2_atrD18_new_20d_low
R1–R10 Recovery9/10 triggered
R1_close_above_ema5R2_close_above_ema10R3_close_above_sma20R4_ema_bull_crossR5_r5d_positiveR6_higher_high_lowR7_atr_contractingR8_above_5d_highR9_rs_5d_positiveR10_up_vol_surge
BK1–BK18 Breakout15/18 triggered
BK1_above_20d_highBK2_above_50d_highBK3_vol_surgeBK4_above_sma20BK5_above_sma50BK6_above_sma200BK7_sma20_above_sma50BK8_sma50_above_sma200BK9_r5d_positiveBK10_r20d_above_5BK11_atr_expandingBK12_new_52w_highBK13_rs_20d_positiveBK14_rs_vs_parent_posBK15_bull_barBK16_clean_breakBK17_3_higher_closesBK18_range_expansion
S1–S10 Stock Drop0/10 triggered
S1_close_below_sma20S2_ema5_below_ema10S3_r5d_negativeS4_r10d_below_neg3S5_drop_2_atrS6_3_lower_lowsS7_3_consec_redS8_break_20d_highS9_rs_20d_negativeS10_new_20d_low
Suggested 2×ATR stop:$525.19ATR10 11.06RS vs SPY 20d:+7.49%
StockPimp Predicts
25-signal fusion · MSFT · predicting Next Day · as of 2026-10-13
Windowed Edge Comparison — backtest accuracy across all 10 windows
Edge STABLE — durable across decades and recent quarter
| Window | Bars | Fires | Accuracy | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 10 Years | 2312 | 911 | 54.7% | marginal |
| 5 Years | 1260 | 411 | 55.0% | marginal |
| 3 Years | 756 | 239 | 56.9% | modest |
| 2 Years | 504 | 138 | 59.4% | modest |
| 1 Year | 252 | 57 | 57.9%★ | modest |
| 6 Months | 126 | 36 | 55.6%★ | modest |
| 3 Months | 63 | 31 | 51.6%★ | marginal |
| 1 Month | 21 | 15 | 46.7% | marginal |
| 10 Days | 10 | 7 | 71.4% | strong |
| 5 Days | 5 | 2 | 100.0% | insufficient |
Click any row to switch the active window. ★ = alt-data snapshots in backtest. Edge tiers: strong (≥70%) · solid (62–70%) · modest (55–62%) · marginal (<55%) · insufficient (<5 fires).
Next Day
NEUTRAL
8.1% conviction
Composite
+0.081
hist +0.11 · live +0.02
Rules Firing
13 / 25
52% engaged
10 Years Backtest Verdict
Marginal — raise threshold
54.67% acc · CI [51.4–57.9%]
Backtest Acc
54.67%
95% CI
51.4–57.9%
Signal Fires
911
Coverage
39.4%
UP Acc
54.5%
850 fires
DOWN Acc
57.4%
61 fires
Futures (avg)
-0.40%
ES=F -0.17% · NQ=F -0.63% · YM=F -0.13% · RTY=F -0.67%
AH / PM
-0.16%
AH -1.03% · PM +0.71%
News (36h)
+0.31
4🟢 1🔴 15⚪
Sector Breadth
5↑ / 6↓
avg -0.08% · A/D 0.83
10Y Treasury
5.21%
change -0.48% (rising = bearish equities)
Commodities
GLD -0.08%
USO +0.53%
Polymarket
—
no matching prediction markets
Reddit (WSB+)
+0.71
58 mentions · 212 ↑ · rank #8 · +41.5%
Seeking Alpha
+0.10
30 articles · 7🟢 4🔴 19⚪
Politicians (PTR)
9 buys / 9 sells
$1,230,004 buy / $1,254,504 sell
OGE 278-T
—
OGE 278-T public portal returned non-200; manual PDF parsing required
Top scorers who bought MSFT
full leaderboard → Scoring…
Today's Signal Breakdown — 14 Historical Rules
Last 60 Signal Fires (composite height = conviction)
Methodology: 14 historical signals (RSI+MFI, SMA align, Bollinger, 200-SMA, VIX, money flow, payday, candlestick, streak, gap, pullback, RSI(2), volume spike, divergence) are walk-forward backtested over the selected window (10 Years) of MSFT daily bars. The 11 live overlays (futures, AH/PM, news, sectors, 10Y treasury, commodities, Polymarket, Reddit, Seeking Alpha, politician trades, OGE 278-T) add forward-looking context at 35% authority. A signal fires only when the combined composite exceeds ±0.15. Verdict above ≥55% is a meaningful edge over base rate.
Alt-data not yet in backtest — Daily snapshots of the 5 alt-data sources (Polymarket, Reddit/ApeWisdom, Seeking Alpha, politician trades, OGE 278-T) are captured each time MSFT is queried, but the selected 10 Years window does not yet contain enough completed snapshots (with verified next-day actuals) to augment the backtest. Snapshots accumulate forward starting now — once the window covers dates with stored snapshots, those days will automatically blend hist+live composites for honest alt-data validation. Long windows (≥1y) remain historical-only by design.
Chart Timeframe
ReturnsMSFT$547.31MSN Finance · 03:10:11 PM
1D+1.14%
5D+3.40%
10D+7.53%
20D+10.10%
50D+12.23%
100D+29.98%
200D+12.15%
1Y+7.11%
3Y+67.24%
5Y+89.54%
| Indicator | 1D | 5D | 10D | 20D | 50D | 100D | 200D | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MFI75.08OVERBOUGHTMFI(14) point change | -0.77% | -2.70% | +15.49% | +26.07% | -3.03% | +16.32% | +4.03% | +30.57% | +33.48% | +43.82% |
| RSI72.09OVERBOUGHTRSI(14) point change | +2.23% | +4.15% | +13.71% | +16.24% | -6.18% | +15.73% | +21.66% | +25.34% | +17.45% | +26.85% |
| VWAPprice vs window VWAP | -0.05% | +2.64% | +3.99% | +6.80% | +8.99% | +25.26% | +28.76% | +25.40% | +27.76% | +49.53% |
| MACD2.46MACD(12,26) as % of price · momentum change | +0.20% | +0.58% | +1.05% | +0.54% | -1.19% | +1.50% | +3.11% | +1.87% | +3.19% | +3.41% |
Max Draw DownMSFTworst dip over any 1D–5Y stretch in the last 5 years
1D-9.99%
5D-14.62%
10D-18.26%
20D-23.38%
50D-25.92%
100D-31.49%
200D-34.91%
1Y-34.91%
3Y-34.91%
5Y-37.56%
Days to RecoverMSFTtrading days from each worst dip's trough back to its prior peak
1D127d
5D124d
10D122d
20D25d
50D87d
100D139d
200D76d
1Y76d
3Y76d
5Y153d
Multi-Benchmark ComparisonMSFT· 1D · rebased to stock starting price
100%
Benchmarks
Moving avgs
Indicators
- Book/Price % · $59.56 BVPS
- Dow Jones
- IGV · Software
- MSFT
- Nasdaq 100
- Regression
- Russell 2k
- S&P 500
- VWAP
- XLK · Technology
Regression direction: DOWNslope/bar -0.050fit $548.47 → $548.19
Chart Explanation — AIreads the candles above · MSFT
analyzing the candles…
AI Options Suggestionsreviews the live options chain + page data · MSFT
Click Analyze Options Chain — AI reviews strikes within ±8% of spot across the nearest, ~30-day, ~60-day and LEAP-style 3-6 month expirations, then suggests contracts with confidence, stop-loss and profit-taking levels.
P/E Valuation — MSFT
Valuations
Analytics
Pulling SEC EPS filings + peer prices… (first load can take ~20s)
MSFT Indicators
Price, MFI & RSI—PRICE
$--
MFI
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RSI
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Price
Stock price in USD
MFI
Money Flow Index (0-100)
RSI
Relative Strength Index (0-100)
MSFT VIX & Price
Market Volatility Index—PRICE
$--
VIX
--
Loading...
Loading VIX data...
VIX (CBOE Volatility Index)
Measures expected 30-day volatility of the S&P 500. Higher VIX = more fear in markets. Values above 20 indicate elevated volatility, above 30 indicates extreme fear.
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Trading Profile
Intraday ETF Options
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