LIVE 9s
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BREAKING
Iran reportedly fortifies nuclear sites as it prepares for possible U.S. strikes after midterms3m agoWhite House has asked Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle to resign, new Trump press secretary says28m agoMartin Shkreli violated lifetime pharma industry ban, FTC and states say in contempt claim56m agoBumble Soars 56% as Ithaca Holdings Agrees to Take It Private at $6.05 a Share; Match Group Advances 2%20m agoCyclicals Lead Sectors In Tuesday Trading As Health Care Trails - Benzinga27m agoAST SpaceMobile Sinks 9% as Piper Sandler Cuts to Neutral on SpaceX Direct-to-Cell Threat; Planet Labs Drops 4%, Rocket Lab Slips29m agoRapid Growth, High Volatility, and Near 50% Upside Confound Seagate Technology Investors43m agoGoldman Sachs Rises on Equities-Led Earnings Beat; JPMorgan Chase Treads Water, Wells Fargo Declines 3%1h agoIREN Slides 5% as Anthropic Cloud Report Buzz Fades; Core Scientific Falls 3%1h agoS&P 500 Concentration Is Even Worse Than It Looks. How I'm Attacking It. (NYSEARCA:SPY) - Seeking Alpha1h agoUnitedHealth Rises 4% on Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Outlook; Humana Advances 2%2h agoWhat If You’d Bought Vanguard’s Growth ETF at the Worst Possible Moment?2h agoCipher Digital Tumbles 14% on $850M Convertible Note Offering and Share Exchange; Applied Digital Drops 5%2h agoValuEngine Weekly Commentary With Strategy Notes - Seeking Alpha2h agoExchange-Traded Funds Lower, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Tuesday Amid Chip Weakness, Bank Earnings2h agoIran reportedly fortifies nuclear sites as it prepares for possible U.S. strikes after midterms3m agoWhite House has asked Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle to resign, new Trump press secretary says28m agoMartin Shkreli violated lifetime pharma industry ban, FTC and states say in contempt claim56m agoBumble Soars 56% as Ithaca Holdings Agrees to Take It Private at $6.05 a Share; Match Group Advances 2%20m agoCyclicals Lead Sectors In Tuesday Trading As Health Care Trails - Benzinga27m agoAST SpaceMobile Sinks 9% as Piper Sandler Cuts to Neutral on SpaceX Direct-to-Cell Threat; Planet Labs Drops 4%, Rocket Lab Slips29m agoRapid Growth, High Volatility, and Near 50% Upside Confound Seagate Technology Investors43m agoGoldman Sachs Rises on Equities-Led Earnings Beat; JPMorgan Chase Treads Water, Wells Fargo Declines 3%1h agoIREN Slides 5% as Anthropic Cloud Report Buzz Fades; Core Scientific Falls 3%1h agoS&P 500 Concentration Is Even Worse Than It Looks. How I'm Attacking It. (NYSEARCA:SPY) - Seeking Alpha1h agoUnitedHealth Rises 4% on Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Outlook; Humana Advances 2%2h agoWhat If You’d Bought Vanguard’s Growth ETF at the Worst Possible Moment?2h agoCipher Digital Tumbles 14% on $850M Convertible Note Offering and Share Exchange; Applied Digital Drops 5%2h agoValuEngine Weekly Commentary With Strategy Notes - Seeking Alpha2h agoExchange-Traded Funds Lower, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Tuesday Amid Chip Weakness, Bank Earnings2h ago
MTB
LIVE 9sM&T Bank Corporation
$218.20
-1.69 (-0.77%)
MSN Finance · 03:28:36 PM
Book value$176.03·24.92% premium
Market Cap
$31.51B
P/E
11.52
EPS (ttm)
0.00
52W High
$255.95
52W Low
$174.76
Volume
112,518
Beta
0.61
Div Yield
2.73%
Avg Vol
1,092,480
Open
$221.40
Prev Close
$219.89
Day Range
$216.96 - $222.04
Analysis Tabs
Early WarningsMTB4-layer scoring · D1-D18 / R1-R10 / BK1-BK18
StockPimp Predicts
25-signal fusion · MTB · predicting Next Day · as of 2026-10-13
Windowed Edge Comparison — backtest accuracy across all 10 windows
Edge STABLE — durable across decades and recent quarter
| Window | Bars | Fires | Accuracy | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 10 Years | 2312 | 619 | 46.9% | marginal |
| 5 Years | 1260 | 396 | 45.7% | marginal |
| 3 Years | 756 | 272 | 46.3% | marginal |
| 2 Years | 504 | 184 | 46.7% | marginal |
| 1 Year | 252 | 105 | 47.6% | marginal |
| 6 Months | 126 | 60 | 50.0% | marginal |
| 3 Months | 63 | 48 | 54.2% | marginal |
| 1 Month | 21 | 13 | 46.2% | marginal |
| 10 Days | 10 | 4 | 25.0% | insufficient |
| 5 Days | 5 | 3 | 33.3% | insufficient |
Click any row to switch the active window. ★ = alt-data snapshots in backtest. Edge tiers: strong (≥70%) · solid (62–70%) · modest (55–62%) · marginal (<55%) · insufficient (<5 fires).
Next Day
NEUTRAL
0.3% conviction
Composite
+0.003
hist -0.07 · live +0.14
Rules Firing
11 / 25
44% engaged
10 Years Backtest Verdict
Marginal — raise threshold
46.85% acc · CI [43.0–50.8%]
Backtest Acc
46.85%
95% CI
43.0–50.8%
Signal Fires
619
Coverage
26.77%
UP Acc
48.4%
525 fires
DOWN Acc
38.3%
94 fires
Futures (avg)
-0.37%
ES=F -0.16% · NQ=F -0.60% · YM=F -0.14% · RTY=F -0.58%
AH / PM
+0.32%
AH — · PM +0.64%
News (36h)
+0.54
2🟢 0🔴 3⚪
Sector Breadth
4↑ / 7↓
avg -0.12% · A/D 0.57
10Y Treasury
5.22%
change -0.40% (rising = bearish equities)
Commodities
GLD -0.15%
USO +0.83%
Polymarket
—
no matching prediction markets
Reddit (WSB+)
—
ticker not in top trending
Seeking Alpha
+0.43
30 articles · 13🟢 0🔴 17⚪
Politicians (PTR)
—
no congressional trades in 60d (PDF parser running on backend)
OGE 278-T
—
OGE 278-T public portal returned non-200; manual PDF parsing required
Top scorers who bought MTB
full leaderboard → Scoring…
Today's Signal Breakdown — 14 Historical Rules
Last 60 Signal Fires (composite height = conviction)
Methodology: 14 historical signals (RSI+MFI, SMA align, Bollinger, 200-SMA, VIX, money flow, payday, candlestick, streak, gap, pullback, RSI(2), volume spike, divergence) are walk-forward backtested over the selected window (10 Years) of MTB daily bars. The 11 live overlays (futures, AH/PM, news, sectors, 10Y treasury, commodities, Polymarket, Reddit, Seeking Alpha, politician trades, OGE 278-T) add forward-looking context at 35% authority. A signal fires only when the combined composite exceeds ±0.15. Verdict above ≥55% is a meaningful edge over base rate.
Alt-data not yet in backtest — Daily snapshots of the 5 alt-data sources (Polymarket, Reddit/ApeWisdom, Seeking Alpha, politician trades, OGE 278-T) are captured each time MTB is queried, but the selected 10 Years window does not yet contain enough completed snapshots (with verified next-day actuals) to augment the backtest. Snapshots accumulate forward starting now — once the window covers dates with stored snapshots, those days will automatically blend hist+live composites for honest alt-data validation. Long windows (≥1y) remain historical-only by design.
Chart Timeframe
ReturnsMTB$218.20MSN Finance · 03:28:36 PM
1D-0.77%
5D-0.25%
10D+0.32%
20D-7.29%
50D-12.54%
100D+3.70%
200D+5.29%
1Y+20.66%
3Y+74.81%
5Y+46.22%
| Indicator | 1D | 5D | 10D | 20D | 50D | 100D | 200D | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MFI42.06MFI(14) point change | +1.93% | +11.75% | +11.59% | -5.49% | -13.16% | +1.95% | -30.74% | +26.37% | -1.43% | -42.20% |
| RSI36.04RSI(14) point change | -2.82% | +4.15% | +9.29% | -3.88% | -22.51% | -12.16% | -34.29% | +12.21% | -12.54% | -32.10% |
| VWAPprice vs window VWAP | -0.40% | +0.39% | +0.20% | -1.36% | -6.66% | -6.81% | -2.68% | +0.58% | +18.04% | +27.99% |
| MACD-2.03MACD(12,26) as % of price · momentum change | +0.10% | +0.47% | +0.61% | -1.15% | -3.74% | -1.03% | -4.47% | -0.56% | -1.08% | -4.85% |
Max Draw DownMTBworst dip over any 1D–5Y stretch in the last 5 years
1D-4.47%
5D-8.24%
10D-12.05%
20D-15.60%
50D-17.55%
100D-17.55%
200D-17.55%
1Y-17.55%
3Y-29.45%
5Y-43.09%
Days to RecoverMTBtrading days from each worst dip's trough back to its prior peak
1D84d
5D18d
10D61d
20D66d
50D69d
100D69d
200D69d
1Y69d
3Y205d
5Y244d
Multi-Benchmark ComparisonMTB· 1D · rebased to stock starting price
100%
Benchmarks
Moving avgs
Indicators
- Book/Price % · $176.03 BVPS
- Dow Jones
- KRE · Regional Banks
- MTB
- Nasdaq 100
- Regression
- Russell 2k
- S&P 500
- VWAP
- XLF · Financials
Regression direction: DOWNslope/bar -0.050fit $219.04 → $217.80
Chart Explanation — AIreads the candles above · MTB
analyzing the candles…
AI Options Suggestionsreviews the live options chain + page data · MTB
Click Analyze Options Chain — AI reviews strikes within ±8% of spot across the nearest, ~30-day, ~60-day and LEAP-style 3-6 month expirations, then suggests contracts with confidence, stop-loss and profit-taking levels.
P/E Valuation — MTBvs KRE · Regional Banks top-10 by weightTrailing 11.6×Fwd 11.0×Blend 11.3×PEG 0.71Margin 178.1%Industry 11.8×
MTB trades at 11.6× vs the industry's 11.8× — 2% BELOW the industry average (relatively cheap)
Valuations
Analytics
Peers
AI Read — analyzing whether MTB is cheap or rich…
- EBC
- Industry Avg P/E
- MTB Trailing P/E
EPS source: SEC 10-K/10-Q quarterly filings · Forward P/E uses today's consensus forward EPS across historical prices · PEG = trailing P/E ÷ TTM EPS growth
MTB Indicators
Price, MFI & RSI—PRICE
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MFI
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RSI
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Price
Stock price in USD
MFI
Money Flow Index (0-100)
RSI
Relative Strength Index (0-100)
MTB VIX & Price
Market Volatility Index—PRICE
$--
VIX
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VIX (CBOE Volatility Index)
Measures expected 30-day volatility of the S&P 500. Higher VIX = more fear in markets. Values above 20 indicate elevated volatility, above 30 indicates extreme fear.
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Trading Profile
Intraday ETF Options
Select your trading style to align signals and recommendations
QQQ, SPY - Quick signals, tight timeframes, options-focused
Profile: Intraday ETF Options • $25,000 account • 1% risk/trade • 1-3 DTE options
Calculating Master Signal...