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BREAKING
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FAST

LIVE 7s
🔴-0.51%

Fastenal Company

$51.04
-0.45 (-0.87%)
MSN Finance · 03:14:24 PM
Industrials•
Book value$3.55·1350.42% premium
Market Cap
$58.56B
P/E
43.43
EPS (ttm)
0.00
52W High
$52.92
52W Low
$38.97
Volume
2,240,208
Beta
0.69
Div Yield
1.86%
Avg Vol
6,755,614
Open
$52.00
Prev Close
$51.49
Day Range
$50.97 - $52.00
Analysis Tabs
Early WarningsFASTparent: PAVE4-layer scoring · D1-D18 / R1-R10 / BK1-BK18
Last
$51.04
MSN Finance · 03:14:24 PM
1D
-0.87%
MSN Finance · 03:14:24 PM
Deterioration
11.11%
2/18
Recovery
70%
7/10
Breakout
44.44%
8/18
D1–D18 Deterioration2/18 triggered
D1_close_below_sma20D2_close_below_sma50D3_close_below_sma200D4_sma20_below_sma50D5_sma50_below_sma200D6_ema5_below_ema10D7_r5d_negativeD8_r10d_below_neg3D9_r20d_below_neg5D10_atr10_above_atr30D11_below_52w_high_10D12_break_20d_highD13_rs_20d_negativeD14_down_volume_heavyD15_3_lower_lowsD16_3_consec_redD17_drop_2_atrD18_new_20d_low
R1–R10 Recovery7/10 triggered
R1_close_above_ema5R2_close_above_ema10R3_close_above_sma20R4_ema_bull_crossR5_r5d_positiveR6_higher_high_lowR7_atr_contractingR8_above_5d_highR9_rs_5d_positiveR10_up_vol_surge
BK1–BK18 Breakout8/18 triggered
BK1_above_20d_highBK2_above_50d_highBK3_vol_surgeBK4_above_sma20BK5_above_sma50BK6_above_sma200BK7_sma20_above_sma50BK8_sma50_above_sma200BK9_r5d_positiveBK10_r20d_above_5BK11_atr_expandingBK12_new_52w_highBK13_rs_20d_positiveBK14_rs_vs_parent_posBK15_bull_barBK16_clean_breakBK17_3_higher_closesBK18_range_expansion
S1–S10 Stock Drop0/10 triggered
S1_close_below_sma20S2_ema5_below_ema10S3_r5d_negativeS4_r10d_below_neg3S5_drop_2_atrS6_3_lower_lowsS7_3_consec_redS8_break_20d_highS9_rs_20d_negativeS10_new_20d_low
Suggested 2×ATR stop:$49.06ATR10 0.99RS vs SPY 20d:+1.04%
StockPimp Predicts
25-signal fusion · FAST · predicting Next Day · as of 2026-10-13
Windowed Edge Comparison — backtest accuracy across all 10 windows
Edge STABLE — durable across decades and recent quarter
WindowBarsFiresAccuracyEdge
▸ 10 Years231277050.5%marginal
5 Years126037449.5%marginal
3 Years75626549.1%marginal
2 Years50418446.7%marginal
1 Year2526347.6%★marginal
6 Months1264252.4%★marginal
3 Months633351.5%★marginal
1 Month211457.1%★modest
10 Days10850.0%★marginal
5 Days5450.0%★insufficient
Click any row to switch the active window. ★ = alt-data snapshots in backtest. Edge tiers: strong (≥70%) · solid (62–70%) · modest (55–62%) · marginal (<55%) · insufficient (<5 fires).
Next Day
UP
15.4% conviction
Composite
+0.155
hist +0.17 · live +0.13
Rules Firing
10 / 25
40% engaged
10 Years Backtest Verdict
Marginal — raise threshold
50.52% acc · CI [47.0–54.0%]
Backtest Acc
50.52%
95% CI
47.0–54.0%
Signal Fires
770
Coverage
33.3%
UP Acc
50.8%
738 fires
DOWN Acc
43.8%
32 fires
Futures (avg)
-0.38%
ES=F -0.15% · NQ=F -0.61% · YM=F -0.13% · RTY=F -0.64%
AH / PM
+0.85%
AH +0.89% · PM +0.82%
News (36h)
+0.00
0🟢 0🔴 3⚪
Sector Breadth
5↑ / 6↓
avg -0.07% · A/D 0.83
10Y Treasury
5.22%
change -0.40% (rising = bearish equities)
Commodities
GLD -0.07%
USO +0.50%
Polymarket
—
no matching prediction markets
Reddit (WSB+)
—
ticker not in top trending
Seeking Alpha
+0.23
30 articles · 8🟢 1🔴 21⚪
Politicians (PTR)
—
no congressional trades in 60d (PDF parser running on backend)
OGE 278-T
—
OGE 278-T public portal returned non-200; manual PDF parsing required
Top scorers who bought FAST
full leaderboard →
Scoring…
Today's Signal Breakdown — 14 Historical Rules
RSI + MFI Conf…Moving-Average…Bollinger Band…200-SMA Trend …VIX RegimeMoney Flow (Vo…Payday PhaseCandlestick Bo…Multi-Day Stre…Overnight Gap …3-Day Pullback…RSI(2) Extreme…Volume + ATR S…RSI / Price Di…-1-0.500.51
Last 60 Signal Fires (composite height = conviction)
123456781012141618202224262830323436384042444648505254565860-1-0.500.51
Methodology: 14 historical signals (RSI+MFI, SMA align, Bollinger, 200-SMA, VIX, money flow, payday, candlestick, streak, gap, pullback, RSI(2), volume spike, divergence) are walk-forward backtested over the selected window (10 Years) of FAST daily bars. The 11 live overlays (futures, AH/PM, news, sectors, 10Y treasury, commodities, Polymarket, Reddit, Seeking Alpha, politician trades, OGE 278-T) add forward-looking context at 35% authority. A signal fires only when the combined composite exceeds ±0.15. Verdict above ≥55% is a meaningful edge over base rate.
Alt-data not yet in backtest — Daily snapshots of the 5 alt-data sources (Polymarket, Reddit/ApeWisdom, Seeking Alpha, politician trades, OGE 278-T) are captured each time FAST is queried, but the selected 10 Years window does not yet contain enough completed snapshots (with verified next-day actuals) to augment the backtest. Snapshots accumulate forward starting now — once the window covers dates with stored snapshots, those days will automatically blend hist+live composites for honest alt-data validation. Long windows (≥1y) remain historical-only by design.
Chart Timeframe
ReturnsFAST$51.04MSN Finance · 03:14:24 PM
1D-0.87%
5D+0.45%
10D+2.16%
20D+3.30%
50D+6.09%
100D+16.85%
200D+22.02%
1Y+11.49%
3Y+81.90%
5Y+97.45%
Indicator1D5D10D20D50D100D200D1Y3Y5Y
MFI50.44MFI(14) point change-5.20%+3.35%+8.74%+10.17%-3.39%+2.18%-7.81%+10.27%-0.47%+14.38%
RSI56.62RSI(14) point change-4.19%-1.09%+5.17%+7.45%-1.72%+12.28%+4.03%+22.18%+0.43%+20.12%
VWAPprice vs window VWAP-0.58%+0.77%+1.17%+1.71%+1.48%+6.06%+10.05%+12.38%+27.01%+45.81%
MACD0.67MACD(12,26) as % of price · momentum change+0.04%+0.12%+0.26%+0.84%-0.12%+1.77%+0.20%+1.33%+1.14%+2.03%
Max Draw DownFASTworst dip over any 1D–5Y stretch in the last 5 years
1D-6.85%
5D-9.70%
10D-9.70%
20D-11.10%
50D-12.02%
100D-12.02%
200D-12.02%
1Y-12.02%
3Y-22.31%
5Y-31.90%
Days to RecoverFASTtrading days from each worst dip's trough back to its prior peak
1D78d
5D76d
10D76d
20D66d
50D54d
100D54d
200D54d
1Y54d
3Y176d
5Y295d
Multi-Benchmark ComparisonFAST· 1D · rebased to stock starting price
100%
Benchmarks
Moving avgs
Indicators
  • Book/Price % · $3.55 BVPS
  • Dow Jones
  • FAST
  • Nasdaq 100
  • PAVE · Infrastructure
  • Regression
  • Russell 2k
  • S&P 500
  • VWAP
  • XLI · Industrials
6:30 AM6:45 AM7:00 AM7:15 AM7:30 AM7:45 AM8:00 AM$50$51$51$52$53Support 51.03Resistance 51.741× ATR alert 50.832× ATR stop 50.56 (ATR 0.26)0255075100
FAST · 1D
-1.26%
$51.74 → $51.09
SPY· S&P 500
-0.11%
FAST − SPY: -1.15%
$777.75 → $776.89
DIA· Dow Jones
-0.63%
FAST − DIA: -0.63%
$520.30 → $517.03
QQQ· Nasdaq 100
+0.33%
FAST − QQQ: -1.58%
$740.20 → $742.61
IWM· Russell 2k
-0.24%
FAST − IWM: -1.01%
$278.58 → $277.90
XLI · Industrials
loading…
PAVE · Infrastructure
loading…
Regression direction: DOWNslope/bar -0.100fit $51.57 → $50.96
Chart Explanation — AIreads the candles above · FAST
analyzing the candles…
AI Options Suggestionsreviews the live options chain + page data · FAST

Click Analyze Options Chain — AI reviews strikes within ±8% of spot across the nearest, ~30-day, ~60-day and LEAP-style 3-6 month expirations, then suggests contracts with confidence, stop-loss and profit-taking levels.

P/E Valuation — FAST
Valuations
Analytics
Pulling SEC EPS filings + peer prices… (first load can take ~20s)
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Trading Profile
Intraday ETF Options

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QQQ, SPY - Quick signals, tight timeframes, options-focused

Profile: Intraday ETF Options • $25,000 account • 1% risk/trade • 1-3 DTE options

Calculating Master Signal...