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BREAKING
White House has asked Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle to resign, new Trump press secretary says5m agoMartin Shkreli violated lifetime pharma industry ban, FTC and states say in contempt claim28m agoWorld Bank jobs council urges 'crisis-era' employment support measures as IMF warns of AI ‘tsunami’1h agoRapid Growth, High Volatility, and Near 50% Upside Confound Seagate Technology Investors15m agoGoldman Sachs Rises on Equities-Led Earnings Beat; JPMorgan Chase Treads Water, Wells Fargo Declines 3%53m agoIREN Slides 5% as Anthropic Cloud Report Buzz Fades; Core Scientific Falls 3%1h agoS&P 500 Concentration Is Even Worse Than It Looks. How I'm Attacking It. (NYSEARCA:SPY) - Seeking Alpha1h agoUnitedHealth Rises 4% on Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Outlook; Humana Advances 2%1h agoWhat If You’d Bought Vanguard’s Growth ETF at the Worst Possible Moment?1h agoCipher Digital Tumbles 14% on $850M Convertible Note Offering and Share Exchange; Applied Digital Drops 5%1h agoValuEngine Weekly Commentary With Strategy Notes - Seeking Alpha1h agoExchange-Traded Funds Lower, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Tuesday Amid Chip Weakness, Bank Earnings1h agoAdobe is Being Punished for a Creative Cannibalization Threat That Isn’t Real2h agoCoreWeave Imploded 20% Over 6 Months: This Analyst Predicts It Will Triple in Price Over the Coming Year2h agoS&P 500 Above 8,000? Fidelity’s Timmer Sees Q3 Earnings and Seasonal Tailwinds Powering Bull Market - Benzinga2h agoWhite House has asked Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle to resign, new Trump press secretary says5m agoMartin Shkreli violated lifetime pharma industry ban, FTC and states say in contempt claim28m agoWorld Bank jobs council urges 'crisis-era' employment support measures as IMF warns of AI ‘tsunami’1h agoRapid Growth, High Volatility, and Near 50% Upside Confound Seagate Technology Investors15m agoGoldman Sachs Rises on Equities-Led Earnings Beat; JPMorgan Chase Treads Water, Wells Fargo Declines 3%53m agoIREN Slides 5% as Anthropic Cloud Report Buzz Fades; Core Scientific Falls 3%1h agoS&P 500 Concentration Is Even Worse Than It Looks. How I'm Attacking It. (NYSEARCA:SPY) - Seeking Alpha1h agoUnitedHealth Rises 4% on Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Outlook; Humana Advances 2%1h agoWhat If You’d Bought Vanguard’s Growth ETF at the Worst Possible Moment?1h agoCipher Digital Tumbles 14% on $850M Convertible Note Offering and Share Exchange; Applied Digital Drops 5%1h agoValuEngine Weekly Commentary With Strategy Notes - Seeking Alpha1h agoExchange-Traded Funds Lower, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Tuesday Amid Chip Weakness, Bank Earnings1h agoAdobe is Being Punished for a Creative Cannibalization Threat That Isn’t Real2h agoCoreWeave Imploded 20% Over 6 Months: This Analyst Predicts It Will Triple in Price Over the Coming Year2h agoS&P 500 Above 8,000? Fidelity’s Timmer Sees Q3 Earnings and Seasonal Tailwinds Powering Bull Market - Benzinga2h ago

CMC

LIVE 6s
🔴-0.75%

Commercial Metals Co

$63.85
-0.23 (-0.36%)
MSN Finance · 03:01:03 PM
Industrials•
Book value$40.94·56.52% premium
Market Cap
$7.06B
P/E
12.12
EPS (ttm)
0.00
52W High
$84.87
52W Low
$53.08
Volume
115,323
Beta
1.53
Div Yield
1.25%
Avg Vol
1,123,854
Open
$64.75
Prev Close
$64.08
Day Range
$63.85 - $64.99
Analysis Tabs
Early WarningsCMCparent: XME4-layer scoring · D1-D18 / R1-R10 / BK1-BK18
Last
$63.85
MSN Finance · 03:01:03 PM
1D
-0.36%
MSN Finance · 03:01:03 PM
Deterioration
55.56%
10/18
Recovery
20%
2/10
Breakout
5.56%
1/18
D1–D18 Deterioration10/18 triggered
D1_close_below_sma20D2_close_below_sma50D3_close_below_sma200D4_sma20_below_sma50D5_sma50_below_sma200D6_ema5_below_ema10D7_r5d_negativeD8_r10d_below_neg3D9_r20d_below_neg5D10_atr10_above_atr30D11_below_52w_high_10D12_break_20d_highD13_rs_20d_negativeD14_down_volume_heavyD15_3_lower_lowsD16_3_consec_redD17_drop_2_atrD18_new_20d_low
R1–R10 Recovery2/10 triggered
R1_close_above_ema5R2_close_above_ema10R3_close_above_sma20R4_ema_bull_crossR5_r5d_positiveR6_higher_high_lowR7_atr_contractingR8_above_5d_highR9_rs_5d_positiveR10_up_vol_surge
BK1–BK18 Breakout1/18 triggered
BK1_above_20d_highBK2_above_50d_highBK3_vol_surgeBK4_above_sma20BK5_above_sma50BK6_above_sma200BK7_sma20_above_sma50BK8_sma50_above_sma200BK9_r5d_positiveBK10_r20d_above_5BK11_atr_expandingBK12_new_52w_highBK13_rs_20d_positiveBK14_rs_vs_parent_posBK15_bull_barBK16_clean_breakBK17_3_higher_closesBK18_range_expansion
S1–S10 Stock Drop5/10 triggered
S1_close_below_sma20S2_ema5_below_ema10S3_r5d_negativeS4_r10d_below_neg3S5_drop_2_atrS6_3_lower_lowsS7_3_consec_redS8_break_20d_highS9_rs_20d_negativeS10_new_20d_low
Suggested 2×ATR stop:$60.27ATR10 1.79RS vs SPY 20d:-4.64%
StockPimp Predicts
25-signal fusion · CMC · predicting Next Day · as of 2026-10-13
Windowed Edge Comparison — backtest accuracy across all 10 windows
Edge STABLE — durable across decades and recent quarter
WindowBarsFiresAccuracyEdge
▸ 10 Years231280546.0%marginal
5 Years126047645.8%marginal
3 Years75624839.9%marginal
2 Years50417541.1%marginal
1 Year25210341.8%marginal
6 Months1263336.4%marginal
3 Months63944.4%marginal
1 Month21520.0%marginal
10 Days10250.0%insufficient
5 Days51100.0%insufficient
Click any row to switch the active window. ★ = alt-data snapshots in backtest. Edge tiers: strong (≥70%) · solid (62–70%) · modest (55–62%) · marginal (<55%) · insufficient (<5 fires).
Next Day
NEUTRAL
8.0% conviction
Composite
-0.080
hist -0.12 · live -0.01
Rules Firing
10 / 25
40% engaged
10 Years Backtest Verdict
Marginal — raise threshold
45.96% acc · CI [42.5–49.4%]
Backtest Acc
45.96%
95% CI
42.5–49.4%
Signal Fires
805
Coverage
34.82%
UP Acc
46.7%
701 fires
DOWN Acc
41.3%
104 fires
Futures (avg)
-0.32%
ES=F -0.11% · NQ=F -0.54% · YM=F -0.02% · RTY=F -0.59%
AH / PM
+0.06%
AH +0.36% · PM -0.23%
News (36h)
+0.00
0🟢 0🔴 4⚪
Sector Breadth
4↑ / 6↓
avg -0.12% · A/D 0.67
10Y Treasury
5.22%
change -0.44% (rising = bearish equities)
Commodities
GLD -0.10%
USO +0.60%
Polymarket
—
no matching prediction markets
Reddit (WSB+)
—
ticker not in top trending
Seeking Alpha
+0.37
30 articles · 11🟢 0🔴 19⚪
Politicians (PTR)
—
no congressional trades in 60d (PDF parser running on backend)
OGE 278-T
—
OGE 278-T public portal returned non-200; manual PDF parsing required
Top scorers who bought CMC
full leaderboard →
Scoring…
Today's Signal Breakdown — 14 Historical Rules
RSI + MFI Conf…Moving-Average…Bollinger Band…200-SMA Trend …VIX RegimeMoney Flow (Vo…Payday PhaseCandlestick Bo…Multi-Day Stre…Overnight Gap …3-Day Pullback…RSI(2) Extreme…Volume + ATR S…RSI / Price Di…-1-0.500.51
Last 60 Signal Fires (composite height = conviction)
123456781012141618202224262830323436384042444648505254565860-1-0.500.51
Methodology: 14 historical signals (RSI+MFI, SMA align, Bollinger, 200-SMA, VIX, money flow, payday, candlestick, streak, gap, pullback, RSI(2), volume spike, divergence) are walk-forward backtested over the selected window (10 Years) of CMC daily bars. The 11 live overlays (futures, AH/PM, news, sectors, 10Y treasury, commodities, Polymarket, Reddit, Seeking Alpha, politician trades, OGE 278-T) add forward-looking context at 35% authority. A signal fires only when the combined composite exceeds ±0.15. Verdict above ≥55% is a meaningful edge over base rate.
Alt-data not yet in backtest — Daily snapshots of the 5 alt-data sources (Polymarket, Reddit/ApeWisdom, Seeking Alpha, politician trades, OGE 278-T) are captured each time CMC is queried, but the selected 10 Years window does not yet contain enough completed snapshots (with verified next-day actuals) to augment the backtest. Snapshots accumulate forward starting now — once the window covers dates with stored snapshots, those days will automatically blend hist+live composites for honest alt-data validation. Long windows (≥1y) remain historical-only by design.
Chart Timeframe
ReturnsCMC$63.85MSN Finance · 03:01:03 PM
1D-0.36%
5D-1.63%
10D+2.90%
20D-2.06%
50D-9.06%
100D-10.17%
200D-9.74%
1Y+12.08%
3Y+33.94%
5Y+101.04%
Indicator1D5D10D20D50D100D200D1Y3Y5Y
MFI47.54MFI(14) point change+1.82%+10.88%+24.47%+2.78%-10.70%-5.00%-0.34%+2.05%+5.09%-3.09%
RSI45.4RSI(14) point change-0.80%-2.31%+8.60%+4.81%-11.25%-10.39%-22.74%-0.06%+14.29%-7.20%
VWAPprice vs window VWAP-0.59%+0.22%+0.24%-0.79%-5.32%-7.06%-8.12%-6.00%+10.80%+22.91%
MACD-1.39MACD(12,26) as % of price · momentum change+0.08%+0.25%+0.60%-0.26%-1.80%-3.00%-5.11%-1.89%+1.93%-0.83%
Max Draw DownCMCworst dip over any 1D–5Y stretch in the last 5 years
1D-7.26%
5D-17.38%
10D-20.19%
20D-25.75%
50D-29.96%
100D-29.96%
200D-29.96%
1Y-29.96%
3Y-38.09%
5Y-38.09%
Days to RecoverCMCtrading days from each worst dip's trough back to its prior peak
1D3d
5D24d
10Dnot yet
20Dnot yet
50Dnot yet
100Dnot yet
200Dnot yet
1Ynot yet
3Y161d
5Y161d
Multi-Benchmark ComparisonCMC· 1D · rebased to stock starting price
100%
Benchmarks
Moving avgs
Indicators
  • Book/Price % · $40.94 BVPS
  • CMC
  • Dow Jones
  • Nasdaq 100
  • Regression
  • Russell 2k
  • S&P 500
  • VWAP
  • XLB · Materials
  • XME · Metals & Mining
6:30 AM6:45 AM7:00 AM7:15 AM7:30 AM7:45 AM$63$64$64$65$66Support 64.19Resistance 64.751× ATR alert 63.852× ATR stop 63.51 (ATR 0.34)0255075100
CMC · 1D
-0.86%
$64.75 → $64.19
SPY· S&P 500
-0.04%
CMC − SPY: -0.83%
$777.71 → $777.41
DIA· Dow Jones
-0.41%
CMC − DIA: -0.45%
$521.10 → $518.96
QQQ· Nasdaq 100
+0.33%
CMC − QQQ: -1.19%
$740.20 → $742.61
IWM· Russell 2k
-0.24%
CMC − IWM: -0.62%
$278.58 → $277.90
XLB · Materials
loading…
XME · Metals & Mining
loading…
Regression direction: DOWNslope/bar -0.110fit $64.68 → $64.14
Chart Explanation — AIreads the candles above · CMC
analyzing the candles…
AI Options Suggestionsreviews the live options chain + page data · CMC

Click Analyze Options Chain — AI reviews strikes within ±8% of spot across the nearest, ~30-day, ~60-day and LEAP-style 3-6 month expirations, then suggests contracts with confidence, stop-loss and profit-taking levels.

P/E Valuation — CMC
Valuations
Analytics
Pulling SEC EPS filings + peer prices… (first load can take ~20s)

CMC Indicators

Price, MFI & RSI—
PRICE
$--
MFI
--
RSI
--

Loading indicator data...

Price

Stock price in USD

MFI

Money Flow Index (0-100)

RSI

Relative Strength Index (0-100)

CMC VIX & Price

Market Volatility Index—
PRICE
$--
VIX
--
Loading...

Loading VIX data...

VIX (CBOE Volatility Index)

Measures expected 30-day volatility of the S&P 500. Higher VIX = more fear in markets. Values above 20 indicate elevated volatility, above 30 indicates extreme fear.

CMC Price Trend

1 Day—
Current Price
$--
%
Entry Zone
$ - $
Exit Zone
$ - $
Key Levels
Resistance:$
Support:$
Trend Strength
0%
R² Correlation
No clear trend — price movement is mostly random
Period Change
-0.4%
Gain/Loss

Loading price trend data...

Entry Zone
Exit Zone
Price
Regression
VWAP (anchored)
Forecast
SMA 20
SMA 50
Support
Resistance
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Technical Indicators - RSI & MFI

Momentum oscillators to identify overbought and oversold conditions

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Neutral
46.41
0 (Oversold)50100 (Overbought)

RSI measures momentum. Above 70 = overbought, below 30 = oversold.

Money Flow Index (MFI)

Neutral
45.72
0 (Oversold)50100 (Overbought)

MFI incorporates volume. Above 80 = overbought, below 20 = oversold.

30-Day Trend

  • MFI
  • RSI
2026-09-012026-09-032026-09-082026-09-102026-09-142026-09-162026-09-182026-09-222026-09-242026-09-282026-09-302026-10-022026-10-062026-10-082026-10-120255075100RSI / MFIRSI Overbought (70)RSI Oversold (30)MFI Overbought (80)MFI Oversold (20)
How to Use These Indicators

RSI (Relative Strength Index)

  • Above 70: Potentially overbought, consider selling
  • Below 30: Potentially oversold, consider buying
  • Measures price momentum over 14 periods

MFI (Money Flow Index)

  • Above 80: Overbought with high volume
  • Below 20: Oversold with low volume
  • Combines price and volume data
Moving Averages Analysis

SMA & EMA for 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 trading days

Overall Trend:
Bearish
Current Price: $64.08

200-Day Price & Moving Averages Chart

  • Price
  • SMA-20
  • SMA-200
  • SMA-5
  • SMA-50
  • VWAP (anchored)
2025-12-242026-01-272026-02-262026-03-272026-04-282026-05-282026-06-292026-07-292026-08-272026-09-285060708090Price ($)

Simple Moving Averages (SMA)

PeriodValuePositionDistanceSignal
SMA-5$63.85ABOVE0.37%
bullish
SMA-10$63.52ABOVE0.88%
bullish
SMA-20$64.29BELOW-0.33%
bearish
SMA-50$67.52BELOW-5.09%
bearish
SMA-100$68.80BELOW-6.87%
bearish
SMA-200$69.68BELOW-8.04%
bearish

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

PeriodValuePositionDistanceSignal
EMA-5$63.86ABOVE0.35%
bullish
EMA-10$63.95ABOVE0.20%
bullish
EMA-20$64.59BELOW-0.79%
bearish
EMA-50$66.27BELOW-3.30%
bearish
EMA-100$67.42BELOW-4.95%
bearish
EMA-200$66.93BELOW-4.26%
bearish
How to Interpret

Position: Price above MA = Bullish; Price below MA = Bearish

Golden Cross: 50-day crosses above 200-day = Strong bullish signal

Death Cross: 50-day crosses below 200-day = Strong bearish signal

SMA vs EMA: EMA reacts faster to price changes; SMA is smoother

Today's Price Action

Real-time intraday price chart with 1-minute intervals

Loading today's price action...
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Premarket Pattern AnalysisMarket

Compare today's intraday movement (pink) against historical patterns (white). Cyan = typical range (25-75%), Orange dashed = extreme range, Amber dashed = regression trend line.

No data available for positive premarket trend
No data available for negative premarket trend
Historical Avg Today Typical Range (25-75%) Extreme Range Regression Resistance Support
Trading Profile
Intraday ETF Options

Select your trading style to align signals and recommendations

QQQ, SPY - Quick signals, tight timeframes, options-focused

Profile: Intraday ETF Options • $25,000 account • 1% risk/trade • 1-3 DTE options

Calculating Master Signal...