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BREAKING
Iran reportedly fortifies nuclear sites as it prepares for possible U.S. strikes after midterms4m agoWhite House has asked Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle to resign, new Trump press secretary says24m agoMartin Shkreli violated lifetime pharma industry ban, FTC and states say in contempt claim52m agoBumble Soars 56% as Ithaca Holdings Agrees to Take It Private at $6.05 a Share; Match Group Advances 2%17m agoCyclicals Lead Sectors In Tuesday Trading As Health Care Trails - Benzinga23m agoAST SpaceMobile Sinks 9% as Piper Sandler Cuts to Neutral on SpaceX Direct-to-Cell Threat; Planet Labs Drops 4%, Rocket Lab Slips25m agoRapid Growth, High Volatility, and Near 50% Upside Confound Seagate Technology Investors39m agoGoldman Sachs Rises on Equities-Led Earnings Beat; JPMorgan Chase Treads Water, Wells Fargo Declines 3%1h agoIREN Slides 5% as Anthropic Cloud Report Buzz Fades; Core Scientific Falls 3%1h agoS&P 500 Concentration Is Even Worse Than It Looks. How I'm Attacking It. (NYSEARCA:SPY) - Seeking Alpha1h agoUnitedHealth Rises 4% on Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Outlook; Humana Advances 2%1h agoWhat If You’d Bought Vanguard’s Growth ETF at the Worst Possible Moment?2h agoCipher Digital Tumbles 14% on $850M Convertible Note Offering and Share Exchange; Applied Digital Drops 5%2h agoValuEngine Weekly Commentary With Strategy Notes - Seeking Alpha2h agoExchange-Traded Funds Lower, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Tuesday Amid Chip Weakness, Bank Earnings2h agoIran reportedly fortifies nuclear sites as it prepares for possible U.S. strikes after midterms4m agoWhite House has asked Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle to resign, new Trump press secretary says24m agoMartin Shkreli violated lifetime pharma industry ban, FTC and states say in contempt claim52m agoBumble Soars 56% as Ithaca Holdings Agrees to Take It Private at $6.05 a Share; Match Group Advances 2%17m agoCyclicals Lead Sectors In Tuesday Trading As Health Care Trails - Benzinga23m agoAST SpaceMobile Sinks 9% as Piper Sandler Cuts to Neutral on SpaceX Direct-to-Cell Threat; Planet Labs Drops 4%, Rocket Lab Slips25m agoRapid Growth, High Volatility, and Near 50% Upside Confound Seagate Technology Investors39m agoGoldman Sachs Rises on Equities-Led Earnings Beat; JPMorgan Chase Treads Water, Wells Fargo Declines 3%1h agoIREN Slides 5% as Anthropic Cloud Report Buzz Fades; Core Scientific Falls 3%1h agoS&P 500 Concentration Is Even Worse Than It Looks. How I'm Attacking It. (NYSEARCA:SPY) - Seeking Alpha1h agoUnitedHealth Rises 4% on Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Outlook; Humana Advances 2%1h agoWhat If You’d Bought Vanguard’s Growth ETF at the Worst Possible Moment?2h agoCipher Digital Tumbles 14% on $850M Convertible Note Offering and Share Exchange; Applied Digital Drops 5%2h agoValuEngine Weekly Commentary With Strategy Notes - Seeking Alpha2h agoExchange-Traded Funds Lower, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Tuesday Amid Chip Weakness, Bank Earnings2h ago
CAT
LIVE 7s🔴-1.58%
Caterpillar Inc
$763.58
-35.79 (-4.48%)
MSN Finance · 03:24:45 PM
Book value$42.19·1794.69% premium
Market Cap
$351.00B
P/E
32.85
EPS (ttm)
0.00
52W High
$1073.46
52W Low
$495.45
Volume
1,032,414
Beta
1.58
Div Yield
0.82%
Avg Vol
2,341,394
Open
$791.38
Prev Close
$799.37
Day Range
$763.00 - $792.70
Analysis Tabs
Last
$763.58
MSN Finance · 03:24:45 PM
1D
-4.48%
MSN Finance · 03:24:45 PM
Deterioration
66.67%
12/18
Recovery
0%
0/10
Breakout
11.11%
2/18
D1–D18 Deterioration12/18 triggered
D1_close_below_sma20D2_close_below_sma50D3_close_below_sma200D4_sma20_below_sma50D5_sma50_below_sma200D6_ema5_below_ema10D7_r5d_negativeD8_r10d_below_neg3D9_r20d_below_neg5D10_atr10_above_atr30D11_below_52w_high_10D12_break_20d_highD13_rs_20d_negativeD14_down_volume_heavyD15_3_lower_lowsD16_3_consec_redD17_drop_2_atrD18_new_20d_low
R1–R10 Recovery0/10 triggered
R1_close_above_ema5R2_close_above_ema10R3_close_above_sma20R4_ema_bull_crossR5_r5d_positiveR6_higher_high_lowR7_atr_contractingR8_above_5d_highR9_rs_5d_positiveR10_up_vol_surge
BK1–BK18 Breakout2/18 triggered
BK1_above_20d_highBK2_above_50d_highBK3_vol_surgeBK4_above_sma20BK5_above_sma50BK6_above_sma200BK7_sma20_above_sma50BK8_sma50_above_sma200BK9_r5d_positiveBK10_r20d_above_5BK11_atr_expandingBK12_new_52w_highBK13_rs_20d_positiveBK14_rs_vs_parent_posBK15_bull_barBK16_clean_breakBK17_3_higher_closesBK18_range_expansion
S1–S10 Stock Drop7/10 triggered
S1_close_below_sma20S2_ema5_below_ema10S3_r5d_negativeS4_r10d_below_neg3S5_drop_2_atrS6_3_lower_lowsS7_3_consec_redS8_break_20d_highS9_rs_20d_negativeS10_new_20d_low
Suggested 2×ATR stop:$702.31ATR10 30.64RS vs SPY 20d:-5.14%
StockPimp Predicts
25-signal fusion · CAT · predicting Next Day · as of 2026-10-13
Windowed Edge Comparison — backtest accuracy across all 10 windows
Edge IMPROVING — recent 3mo significantly stronger than 10y baseline
| Window | Bars | Fires | Accuracy | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 10 Years | 2312 | 721 | 54.6% | marginal |
| 5 Years | 1260 | 418 | 56.2% | modest |
| 3 Years | 756 | 301 | 54.8% | marginal |
| 2 Years | 504 | 212 | 56.1% | modest |
| 1 Year | 252 | 145 | 59.3% | modest |
| 6 Months | 126 | 70 | 58.6% | modest |
| 3 Months | 63 | 27 | 66.7% | solid |
| 1 Month | 21 | 2 | 50.0% | insufficient |
| 10 Days | 10 | 1 | 0.0% | insufficient |
| 5 Days | 5 | 1 | 0.0% | insufficient |
Click any row to switch the active window. ★ = alt-data snapshots in backtest. Edge tiers: strong (≥70%) · solid (62–70%) · modest (55–62%) · marginal (<55%) · insufficient (<5 fires).
Next Day
NEUTRAL
3.0% conviction
Composite
+0.030
hist -0.10 · live +0.28
Rules Firing
13 / 25
52% engaged
10 Years Backtest Verdict
Marginal — raise threshold
54.65% acc · CI [51.0–58.3%]
Backtest Acc
54.65%
95% CI
51.0–58.3%
Signal Fires
721
Coverage
31.19%
UP Acc
55.4%
653 fires
DOWN Acc
47.1%
68 fires
Futures (avg)
-0.33%
ES=F -0.14% · NQ=F -0.57% · YM=F -0.09% · RTY=F -0.51%
AH / PM
+2.22%
AH +4.67% · PM -0.23%
News (36h)
+0.60
1🟢 0🔴 4⚪
Sector Breadth
4↑ / 6↓
avg -0.10% · A/D 0.67
10Y Treasury
5.22%
change -0.40% (rising = bearish equities)
Commodities
GLD -0.10%
USO +0.61%
Polymarket
—
no matching prediction markets
Reddit (WSB+)
—
ticker not in top trending
Seeking Alpha
+0.20
30 articles · 11🟢 5🔴 14⚪
Politicians (PTR)
—
no congressional trades in 60d (PDF parser running on backend)
OGE 278-T
—
OGE 278-T public portal returned non-200; manual PDF parsing required
Top scorers who bought CAT
full leaderboard → Scoring…
Today's Signal Breakdown — 14 Historical Rules
Last 60 Signal Fires (composite height = conviction)
Methodology: 14 historical signals (RSI+MFI, SMA align, Bollinger, 200-SMA, VIX, money flow, payday, candlestick, streak, gap, pullback, RSI(2), volume spike, divergence) are walk-forward backtested over the selected window (10 Years) of CAT daily bars. The 11 live overlays (futures, AH/PM, news, sectors, 10Y treasury, commodities, Polymarket, Reddit, Seeking Alpha, politician trades, OGE 278-T) add forward-looking context at 35% authority. A signal fires only when the combined composite exceeds ±0.15. Verdict above ≥55% is a meaningful edge over base rate.
Alt-data not yet in backtest — Daily snapshots of the 5 alt-data sources (Polymarket, Reddit/ApeWisdom, Seeking Alpha, politician trades, OGE 278-T) are captured each time CAT is queried, but the selected 10 Years window does not yet contain enough completed snapshots (with verified next-day actuals) to augment the backtest. Snapshots accumulate forward starting now — once the window covers dates with stored snapshots, those days will automatically blend hist+live composites for honest alt-data validation. Long windows (≥1y) remain historical-only by design.
Chart Timeframe
ReturnsCAT$763.58MSN Finance · 03:24:45 PM
1D-4.48%
5D-11.57%
10D-7.63%
20D-2.55%
50D-8.01%
100D-12.49%
200D+30.80%
1Y+55.42%
3Y+187.02%
5Y+296.66%
| Indicator | 1D | 5D | 10D | 20D | 50D | 100D | 200D | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MFI48.2MFI(14) point change | -5.91% | -26.31% | -20.18% | +5.76% | +3.50% | -0.04% | +0.95% | -17.08% | +18.98% | +15.73% |
| RSI36.45RSI(14) point change | -7.87% | -26.98% | -17.44% | -2.92% | -3.10% | -17.73% | -16.41% | -28.59% | -5.19% | -1.79% |
| VWAPprice vs window VWAP | -1.23% | -5.13% | -7.07% | -6.24% | -7.43% | -13.56% | -6.18% | +0.24% | +56.63% | +106.14% |
| MACD-0.72MACD(12,26) as % of price · momentum change | -0.50% | -1.47% | -0.36% | +1.13% | +3.00% | -3.65% | -1.61% | -4.27% | +0.34% | +1.23% |
Max Draw DownCATworst dip over any 1D–5Y stretch in the last 5 years
1D-6.91%
5D-12.50%
10D-14.39%
20D-26.50%
50D-26.83%
100D-28.30%
200D-28.30%
1Y-28.30%
3Y-34.29%
5Y-34.29%
Days to RecoverCATtrading days from each worst dip's trough back to its prior peak
1D4d
5Dnot yet
10Dnot yet
20Dnot yet
50Dnot yet
100Dnot yet
200Dnot yet
1Ynot yet
3Y68d
5Y68d
Multi-Benchmark ComparisonCAT· 1D · rebased to stock starting price
100%
Benchmarks
Moving avgs
Indicators
- Book/Price % · $42.19 BVPS
- CAT
- Dow Jones
- Nasdaq 100
- PAVE · Infrastructure
- Regression
- Russell 2k
- S&P 500
- VWAP
- XLI · Industrials
CAT · 1D
-2.16%
$782.03 → $765.12
XLI · Industrials
loading…
PAVE · Infrastructure
loading…
Regression direction: DOWNslope/bar -2.340fit $782.27 → $765.91
Chart Explanation — AIreads the candles above · CAT
analyzing the candles…
AI Options Suggestionsreviews the live options chain + page data · CAT
Click Analyze Options Chain — AI reviews strikes within ±8% of spot across the nearest, ~30-day, ~60-day and LEAP-style 3-6 month expirations, then suggests contracts with confidence, stop-loss and profit-taking levels.
P/E Valuation — CAT
Valuations
Analytics
Pulling SEC EPS filings + peer prices… (first load can take ~20s)
CAT Indicators
Price, MFI & RSI—PRICE
$--
MFI
--
RSI
--
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Price
Stock price in USD
MFI
Money Flow Index (0-100)
RSI
Relative Strength Index (0-100)
CAT VIX & Price
Market Volatility Index—PRICE
$--
VIX
--
Loading...
Loading VIX data...
VIX (CBOE Volatility Index)
Measures expected 30-day volatility of the S&P 500. Higher VIX = more fear in markets. Values above 20 indicate elevated volatility, above 30 indicates extreme fear.
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Trading Profile
Intraday ETF Options
Select your trading style to align signals and recommendations
QQQ, SPY - Quick signals, tight timeframes, options-focused
Profile: Intraday ETF Options • $25,000 account • 1% risk/trade • 1-3 DTE options
Calculating Master Signal...